Multiple rounds of strong storms possible Monday, but also a chance we stay dry

CBS 58

Hopefully you enjoyed a weekend that was nice and dry. That could change Monday when multiple rounds of storms are possible. Three rounds of storms look possible, but there is plenty of uncertainty with each. Overall western Wisconsin and northern Wisconsin has a better chance to see the strong to severe storms. Some of our northwest counties like Fond du Lac and Dodge County may have our best chance to see severe weather. 

The first round of storms is currently in place across northern Wisconsin with some showers trying to develop in eastern Iowa and southwest Wisconsin. Our northern counties have the best chance of seeing those storms.

Here's a statewide view of radar that will update with time:

Most of the state should be pretty dry from late morning through the early afternoon. That's our best chance to enjoy the warm temperatures Monday that likely reach into the 70s for most of southeast Wisconsin and even the chance at some 80s in western counties. 

A second round of storms is possible from the mid afternoon into early evening and a third round from the late evening through early Tuesday morning. These storms have the best chance to be severe if they happen with the bigger tornado risk during round two in the afternoon and early evening and more of a high wind risk with the third round from the late evening into early Tuesday.

The Upper Midwest is in the bullseye for severe weather. While there is uncertainty whether we see the storms in southeast Wisconsin, there is a more likely chance for seeing severe storms with multiple tornadoes possible in western Wisconsin, Northern Iowa and SE Minnesota where the Level 4 Moderate Risk in red is in place. Most of southeast Wisconsin is under a Level 3 Enhanced Risk with a Level 2 Slight Risk for Milwaukee, Racine, Kenosha Counties. 

The tornado risk for Monday for Wisconsin standards is pretty high but much better in western Wisconsin. The chance for afternoon/evening storms locally will give us the best chance for tornadoes. Damaging wind remains the biggest threat locally with a possibility for hail. The flooding risk is not super high as the storms should be fast movers. 

Rain totals with all of the storms we get Monday into early Tuesday should range from 0.10"-0.50" for most of southeast Wisconsin but higher totals are definitely possible with any severe storms we get. 

Download the CBS 58 Weather app to track the storms and see any forecast changes. 

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